Part of: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
This prediction market tracks whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be authentically photographed or videotaped and the media released within the market timeframe, resolving by June 30, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,595 in smart money exposure and 1 signal so far, including activity from a profitable serial event bettor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,595.
Categories: Middle East, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics
Notable Trades
Profitable serial event bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No as part of a broader 3-market thesis on the same event.
- This bettor has a long track record: 69% wins across 324 resolved trades and $29k in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with 48 events traded and a $10.8k thesis across 3 related markets here.
- Buying No at 87¢ suggests they see the public-appearance scenario as even less likely than current odds imply.
$1,595 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0xae7f...31c9 — No, $10,508 (38% win rate)
- 0x5ec9...e848 — Yes, $2,995
- 0x3ff8...5fd6 — Yes, $2,364
- 0x46e2...f8bb — No, $1,941
- 0xb4f2...e5fa — No, $1,843 (69% win rate)
- 0x918e...3271 — Yes, $1,700
- 0x68c2...1711 — Yes, $1,476 (57% win rate)
- 0xd600...b66e — Yes, $1,200
- 0x314a...80f6 — Yes, $1,165
- 0x66c1...2c72 — Yes, $1,000
Related Theses
Mojtaba remains out of sight
Covers 3 related markets
