Part of: Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

This prediction market tracks whether Mojtaba Khamenei will be authentically photographed or videotaped and the media released within the market timeframe, resolving by June 30, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $1,595 in smart money exposure and 1 signal so far, including activity from a profitable serial event bettor.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,595.

Categories: Middle East, Israel, Iran, Geopolitics

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No as part of a broader 3-market thesis on the same event.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 69% wins across 324 resolved trades and $29k in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with 48 events traded and a $10.8k thesis across 3 related markets here.
  • Buying No at 87¢ suggests they see the public-appearance scenario as even less likely than current odds imply.

$1,595 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0xae7f...31c9 No, $10,508 (38% win rate)
  2. 0x5ec9...e848 Yes, $2,995
  3. 0x3ff8...5fd6 Yes, $2,364
  4. 0x46e2...f8bb No, $1,941
  5. 0xb4f2...e5fa No, $1,843 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x918e...3271 Yes, $1,700
  7. 0x68c2...1711 Yes, $1,476 (57% win rate)
  8. 0xd600...b66e Yes, $1,200
  9. 0x314a...80f6 Yes, $1,165
  10. 0x66c1...2c72 Yes, $1,000

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Mojtaba remains out of sight

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

30dMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?$1,595 tracked1 signalMiddle EastIsraelIranGeopolitics
Yes
14¢
No
87¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.

Price History — “No
93¢
76¢
59¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?

10h ago

$1,595 on No at 87¢

87¢87¢

Related Theses