Sharp bettor buying NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sharp wallet with 85% wins across 40 resolved bets bought $3.3k of No on a quiet long-dated political market.
Total
$3,300
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$3,951
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is profitable over 40 bets.
- They put $3.3k on No in a market with very little recent volume.
- Entry at 86¢ suggests a high-conviction view that a Maxwell pardon is unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected May 31, 2026 at 2:47 AM