82% winner buying No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 82% resolved win rate with positive lifetime P&L and is buying No at 74¢.
Total
$1,480
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$39,121
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $9.4k lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by about 20 percentage points on average.
- They are backing No at 74¢ as the market has moved toward Yes over the past week.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 74¢
Detected June 1, 2026 at 2:50 AM