83% winner buying NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sharp wallet with 83% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L made a $5k NO buy that dwarfed recent volume in a quiet geopolitical market.
Total
$5,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$28,074
Analysis
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $28k lifetime.
- The $5k NO buy was more than 11x the market’s recent 24h volume.
- Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Russia does not invade another country in 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected June 2, 2026 at 5:34 AM