85% winner buying longshot
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Sharp wallet with an 85% resolved win record and $102k profit is buying the Tom Steyer longshot despite the market drifting down.
Total
$1,162
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$145,255
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $102k lifetime.
- They bought Steyer at 10¢ while the market sits near 8–9¢, suggesting a contrarian view after a sharp weekly drop.
- The same wallet has positioned across 2 markets in this governor race, pointing to an active election thesis.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 10¢
Detected June 3, 2026 at 6:26 AM