Profitable cross-market bettor

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
A highly experienced profitable wallet is taking a cross-market No position against Google leading AI rankings, though the signal is modest and the market is liquid.
Total
$2,190
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$501,141
Analysis
- This bettor has a long record: 33,352 resolved trades and $324k in lifetime profit.
- They are betting across 2 related AI leaderboard markets, with nearly $7k positioned in the same event.
- Buying No at 87¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Google will not hold the top model spot.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected June 3, 2026 at 4:51 PM