Part of: Which company has best AI model end of June?
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,065.
Categories: Tech, Big Tech, GPT-5, Grok, OpenAI, AI
Notable Trades
81% winner buying Yes
Surface because a highly profitable 81% lifetime bettor is effectively buying Google Yes at 14¢ despite only a modest cross-market signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $141,595 lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Google Yes at 14¢, implying a long-shot position with about 7x payout if right.
- They have placed $5,260 across 2 related AI-leaderboard markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$1,376 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable cross-market bettor
A highly experienced profitable wallet is taking a cross-market No position against Google leading AI rankings, though the signal is modest and the market is liquid.
- This bettor has a long record: 33,352 resolved trades and $324k in lifetime profit.
- They are betting across 2 related AI leaderboard markets, with nearly $7k positioned in the same event.
- Buying No at 87¢ suggests a high-conviction view that Google will not hold the top model spot.
$2,190 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
91% winner exits Yes
Sharp-wallet override: a 91% winning bettor with positive lifetime P&L is exiting Google Yes, effectively taking No at 81¢, though this appears to be closing a prior losing Yes position rather than a fresh large short.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved trades and is up $2,326 lifetime.
- They sold Google Yes at 19¢, which is equivalent to buying No at 81¢.
- This looks like an exit from a prior Yes position, so the signal is weaker than a fresh large bet.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 55343546, $606,784
- 0x9648...6825 — Outcome 48636515, $35,138 (69% win rate)
- 0x2b9d...adc0 — Outcome 48636515, $34,308 (50% win rate)
- 0x0562...9d66 — Outcome 48636515, $24,999 (40% win rate)
- 0xa445...0286 — Outcome 48636515, $23,977
- 0x1682...26ca — Outcome 48636515, $20,935 (68% win rate)
- 0x22e4...ef1c — Outcome 48636515, $18,561 (58% win rate)
- 0x0753...c6aa — Outcome 48636515, $12,556
- 0x5ffb...5e4c — Outcome 48636515, $11,507
- 0x0845...6b6f — Outcome 48636515, $10,336 (70% win rate)
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