New repeat whale on quiet market
On Friday, December 26th, Israel became the first country to recognize Somaliland as a sovereign state. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/israel-recognises-somaliland-somalias-breakway-region-independent-state-2025-12-26/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any other UN member state formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with a relevant country, but do not formally recognize the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of a recognizing country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Very new repeat large bettor added a $2.2k No position on a quiet geopolitical market with zero 24h volume, though there is no resolved track record yet.
Total
$2,200
Trades
1
Wallet P&L
+$0
Analysis
- This wallet is only 1 day old but has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts totaling $20.7k.
- They bought $2.2k of No on a market with $0 volume in the past 24 hours.
- Entry at 88¢ suggests a high-conviction view that no further country recognizes Somaliland by the deadline.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected June 3, 2026 at 7:04 PM