Smart Money Alert: Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A serial cross-market bettor with a 95% win rate made a nearly $4k bet on the high-probability side, making this worth surfacing despite only one signal.
Total
$3,973
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$10,572
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades, with 78 wins in 82 markets.
- They have bet across 43 events and 72 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off guess.
- They bought No at 86¢, backing the high-probability side with nearly $4k of size.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected March 31, 2026 at 9:49 AM