Smart Money SignalScore: 1.1
93% winner buying NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sharp high-win-rate wallet made a $5k No bet that exceeded the market's recent daily volume despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$5,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$32,853
Analysis
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $27k lifetime.
- They put $5k on No, more than the market’s recent 24h volume.
- Entry at 89¢ suggests a high-confidence bet that Russia does not invade another country in 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected June 4, 2026 at 11:30 AM