Contrarian macro whale
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A single bettor bought $4.3k of Yes in a very quiet Fed market after a major price collapse, creating a meaningful contrarian signal despite no strong wallet track record.
Total
$4,251
Trades
1
Win Rate
50%
Wallet P&L
+$710
Analysis
- This bettor put $4.3k on Yes, about 8x the market’s entire 24h volume.
- Yes has fallen sharply from a prior 63–80¢ range to 29¢, so this is a clear contrarian dip buy.
- The market is thin, with only $535 traded in 24h, making this size stand out.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 29¢
Detected June 5, 2026 at 11:48 PM