84% winner buying No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on a political pardon market.
Total
$3,719
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$50,400
Analysis
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $46,750 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 115 events with nearly $2.0M in tracked activity.
- The $3.7K buy was large versus recent market activity, adding conviction to the No side.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 86¢
Detected June 6, 2026 at 1:15 AM