Profitable 77% win-rate bettor

The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/) If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Sharp-wallet override: the bettor has a 77% resolved win rate and $246k lifetime profit, making even a modest Yes buy worth surfacing.
Total
$1,345
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$1,119,970
Analysis
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $246k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 30¢, implying a roughly 3.3x payout if Sánchez wins by 0–4%.
- This wallet has been flagged 5 times before, suggesting repeated large-conviction activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 30¢
Detected June 7, 2026 at 7:04 PM