Profitable serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
A highly active cross-market trader with a long profitable history is reopening a No position on the peace parlay at 82¢.
Total
$1,611
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$261,839
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 254 markets across 158 events and is up about $220K lifetime.
- They previously backed No on this market with $11K invested and are now reopening the same view.
- Entry at 82¢ suggests a conservative thesis that the full peace-parlay conditions are unlikely by 2026.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 82¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 8:02 AM