Smart Money SignalScore: 1.0
Profitable 77% winner buying NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Surfaced because a highly experienced profitable wallet with a 77% historical win rate is buying No despite only a weak low-activity signal.
Total
$1,065
Trades
1
Win Rate
78%
Wallet P&L
+$78,293
Analysis
- This bettor has won 77% of 1,110 resolved bets and is up $81.6K lifetime.
- They bought $1.1K of No at 87¢, taking the side that Trump will not pardon SBF before 2027.
- The market is liquid enough to follow, with a tight 1¢ spread and No currently around 87%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 87¢
Detected June 8, 2026 at 6:48 PM