95% winner exits No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Despite a weak low-activity signal, this is worth surfacing because a 95% winning wallet with positive lifetime P&L is exiting its No position, effectively taking Yes exposure at 23¢.
Total
$3,033
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$15,729
Analysis
- This bettor has won 21 of 22 resolved markets and is up $15.7K lifetime.
- They sold No at 77¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 23¢.
- The market is quiet today, so a $3K move by a proven wallet stands out.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 23¢
Detected June 9, 2026 at 4:51 AM