Smart Money SignalScore: 5.4
Million-dollar sharp buys No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor put $5.8k on No in a quiet pardon market, dwarfing recent volume.
Total
$5,780
Trades
2
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$3,929,032
Analysis
- This bettor has made over $3.1M lifetime and wins 74% of resolved trades across 2,555 bets.
- They bought $5.8k of No in a quiet market, more than 15x the reported recent volume.
- Entry around 89¢ suggests a high-conviction view that a Trump pardon is unlikely.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected June 10, 2026 at 10:46 PM