Profitable sharp fading Yes

A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp wallet with an 81% win rate and $719k lifetime profit is fading Yes on the California billionaire wealth-tax market.
Total
$4,478
Trades
1
Win Rate
82%
Wallet P&L
+$742,090
Analysis
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $719k lifetime.
- They sold Yes at 38¢, which converts to buying No at 62¢.
- The market is liquid, so the signal is mainly the wallet’s strong long-term track record.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 62¢
Detected June 11, 2026 at 9:05 PM