86% win-rate serial trader

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes at 10¢ on a quiet political market.
Total
$2,007
Trades
1
Win Rate
83%
Wallet P&L
+$70,927
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $82.7k lifetime.
- They have traded across 156 events with over $2.0M invested, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Selling No at 90¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 10¢, a high-upside contrarian position.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 10¢
Detected June 14, 2026 at 3:12 AM