Repeat whale buying NO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A repeat large bettor is putting $70k back into the No side on a geopolitical market, a meaningful size relative to recent activity despite an unproven track record.
Total
$70,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
40%
Wallet P&L
-$41,214
Analysis
- This wallet put $70k on No, a large re-entry after previously holding an $82.9k No position.
- The bet was much larger than recent market activity, suggesting strong conviction on a quiet order flow window.
- The wallet is only modestly profitable so far, but this is a concentrated macro bet at an 84¢ entry.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 84¢
Detected June 16, 2026 at 8:09 AM