94% winner buying Yes
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is currently scheduled to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Restore Britain candidate, Rebecca Shepherd, receives at least the listed percentage of the popular vote in the 2026 Makerfield by-election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The percentage of the popular vote will be calculated as number of valid votes received by Rebecca Shepherd divided by the number of total valid votes in the specified election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Sharp political bettor with a 94% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes on a plausible information-sensitive by-election market.
Total
$1,959
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$10,836
Analysis
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $10.8k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 50¢ on a UK by-election market where local polling or campaign knowledge can matter.
- The market has moved up 11 points in the last day, showing momentum behind the Yes side.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 50¢
Detected June 16, 2026 at 10:30 AM