Serial 89% winner buys No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is effectively buying No with $8.5k on a relatively quiet market.
Total
$8,495
Trades
2
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$86,322
Analysis
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $86k lifetime.
- They effectively bought $8.5k of No, more than 2x this market’s 24h volume.
- This is part of a broader cross-market thesis: 3 related markets totaling $15.9k.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 51¢
Detected June 18, 2026 at 1:43 PM