Smart Money SignalScore: 5.5

Repeat new wallet buying NO

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify. A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met: - Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria. - Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count. The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Repeat new wallet is making another sizable geopolitics bet, buying No despite recent Yes momentum and showing early profit on limited resolved history.

Total

$3,079

Trades

1

Win Rate

100%

Wallet P&L

+$18,598

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 79¢

GeopoliticsIranIsraelIsrael x IranIran CeasefireLebanonHezbollahPeace Deal
View all alerts for Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Detected June 19, 2026 at 10:29 AM

Repeat new wallet buying NO | PolySpotter