80% winner buying NO
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on Micah Lasher at 39¢, and the position has already moved to 44¢.
Total
$1,795
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,842,243
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up about $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a major serial political trader, active across 142 events and $5.6M in cross-market volume.
- Bought No at 39¢, and the market has already moved to 44¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 39¢
Detected June 19, 2026 at 9:04 PM