Part of: NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,954.
Categories: Elections, Politics, Trump, primary elections, New York Primary, House Primary, Democratic Primary, June 23 Primaries
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp flips Yes
Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with 1,127 resolved bets and a 79% win rate is flipping into Yes on a political primary market.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $73.7k lifetime.
- They closed a prior No position and are now buying Yes, suggesting a clear shift in view.
- Entry at 67¢ follows a 9-point one-day move, with the market now pricing Lasher as the favorite.
$1,997 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettor buying the dip
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and large positive lifetime P&L, making the Yes buy worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $442K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 49¢ after the market fell 12.5% over the past day.
- Entry near even odds suggests a clear contrarian view on the NY-12 primary.
$3,679 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying the dip
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and large positive lifetime P&L, making the Yes buy worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $442K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 49¢ after the market fell 12.5% over the past day.
- Entry near even odds suggests a clear contrarian view on the NY-12 primary.
$1,042 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying the dip
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and large positive lifetime P&L, making the Yes buy worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $442K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 49¢ after the market fell 12.5% over the past day.
- Entry near even odds suggests a clear contrarian view on the NY-12 primary.
$1,813 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying the dip
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and large positive lifetime P&L, making the Yes buy worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $442K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 49¢ after the market fell 12.5% over the past day.
- Entry near even odds suggests a clear contrarian view on the NY-12 primary.
$6,462 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying the dip
Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 83% resolved win rate and large positive lifetime P&L, making the Yes buy worth surfacing despite the modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $442K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 49¢ after the market fell 12.5% over the past day.
- Entry near even odds suggests a clear contrarian view on the NY-12 primary.
$1,167 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
80% winner buying NO
Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on Micah Lasher at 39¢, and the position has already moved to 44¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up about $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a major serial political trader, active across 142 events and $5.6M in cross-market volume.
- Bought No at 39¢, and the market has already moved to 44¢.
$1,795 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 16257858, $48,805
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 16257858, $13,595
- 0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 16257858, $12,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x1e1f...c855 — Outcome 16257858, $8,072 (58% win rate)
- 0xbad2...5296 — Outcome 16257858, $7,828 (51% win rate)
- 0x2200...0f2d — Outcome 16257858, $4,320 (31% win rate)
- 0xfa32...bd9a — Outcome 16257858, $1,200 (76% win rate)
- 0x40a6...3c1f — Outcome 16257858, $1,051
- 0x0b46...625f — Outcome 16257858, $1,000
- 0x9fe8...2c91 — Outcome 16257858, $1,000 (88% win rate)
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