Smart Money SignalScore: 8.5

Profitable cross-market geopolitics trader

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

Profitable serial cross-market trader bought No in a thin geopolitics market and the price has already moved sharply in their favor.

Total

$1,223

Trades

1

Win Rate

72%

Wallet P&L

+$323,709

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 31¢

GeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranLebanonIsraelIsrael x Iran
View all alerts for Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Detected June 23, 2026 at 3:58 AM

Profitable cross-market geopolitics trader | PolySpotter