Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Historically profitable serial cross-market trader made a large thin-market election bet, with the Yes leg already moving sharply in their favor despite some mixed exposure.
Total
$4,050
Trades
2
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$1,046,027
Analysis
- This bettor has a deep track record: 70% wins across 1,136 resolved bets and over $1.0M in profit.
- Their Yes entry at 59¢ is already marked up to 72¢ after a 19-point daily move.
- The bet was huge for this quiet market, more than 20x the recent 24h volume with a wide spread.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 59¢
Detected June 23, 2026 at 6:48 AM