Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 70% long-run win rate bought Yes in a thin market and is already ahead after the price moved from 50¢ to 58¢.
Total
$1,273
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$1,046,027
Analysis
- This bettor has won 70% of 1,136 resolved trades and is up about $1.05M lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 50¢ in a thin market, with the trade over 3x the prior 24h volume.
- The market has moved to 58¢ after the entry, supporting the direction of the bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 50¢
Detected June 23, 2026 at 7:38 AM