Elite cross-market political bettor
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sharp, highly profitable political bettor bought Yes at 41¢ before a sharp move to 55¢, with strong cross-market history and an 80% win rate.
Total
$1,929
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$3,842,243
Analysis
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M tracked across 230 markets.
- Bought Yes at 41¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting strong early positioning.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 41¢
Detected June 23, 2026 at 8:49 PM