Part of: NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,448.

Categories: Elections, Politics, Trump, primary elections, New York Primary, House Primary, Democratic Primary, June 23 Primaries

Notable Trades

82% winner buying YES

Highly profitable 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market bettor is taking a fresh YES position in a political primary market.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $720,948 lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 28 events, 34 markets, and $248,794 bet in similar patterns.
Buying YES at 28¢ goes against a recent 1-week price drop, suggesting a contrarian view.

$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Elite cross-market political bettor

Sharp, highly profitable political bettor bought Yes at 41¢ before a sharp move to 55¢, with strong cross-market history and an 80% win rate.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M tracked across 230 markets.
Bought Yes at 41¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting strong early positioning.

$1,929 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp political bettor buys NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 83% resolved win rate is buying No in a niche political primary while also positioning across related NY-12 markets.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
They have $6.2k positioned across two related NY-12 markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
Entry at 53¢ implies they see Bores losing the nomination as underpriced.

$2,395 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp political bettor buys NO

Sharp profitable wallet with an 83% resolved win rate is buying No in a niche political primary while also positioning across related NY-12 markets.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
They have $6.2k positioned across two related NY-12 markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
Entry at 53¢ implies they see Bores losing the nomination as underpriced.

$1,289 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%

Elite cross-market political bettor

Sharp, highly profitable political bettor bought Yes at 41¢ before a sharp move to 55¢, with strong cross-market history and an 80% win rate.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M tracked across 230 markets.
Bought Yes at 41¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting strong early positioning.

$2,586 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

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Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner$9,448 tracked5 signalsElectionsPoliticsTrumpprimary electionsNew York PrimaryHouse PrimaryDemocratic PrimaryJune 23 Primaries

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.