Part of: NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,448.
Categories: Elections, Politics, Trump, primary elections, New York Primary, House Primary, Democratic Primary, June 23 Primaries
Notable Trades
82% winner buying YES
Highly profitable 82% lifetime winner and serial cross-market bettor is taking a fresh YES position in a political primary market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $720,948 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 28 events, 34 markets, and $248,794 bet in similar patterns.
- Buying YES at 28¢ goes against a recent 1-week price drop, suggesting a contrarian view.
$1,250 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Elite cross-market political bettor
Sharp, highly profitable political bettor bought Yes at 41¢ before a sharp move to 55¢, with strong cross-market history and an 80% win rate.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M tracked across 230 markets.
- Bought Yes at 41¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting strong early positioning.
$1,929 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp political bettor buys NO
Sharp profitable wallet with an 83% resolved win rate is buying No in a niche political primary while also positioning across related NY-12 markets.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
- They have $6.2k positioned across two related NY-12 markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see Bores losing the nomination as underpriced.
$2,395 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp political bettor buys NO
Sharp profitable wallet with an 83% resolved win rate is buying No in a niche political primary while also positioning across related NY-12 markets.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $445k lifetime.
- They have $6.2k positioned across two related NY-12 markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Entry at 53¢ implies they see Bores losing the nomination as underpriced.
$1,289 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Elite cross-market political bettor
Sharp, highly profitable political bettor bought Yes at 41¢ before a sharp move to 55¢, with strong cross-market history and an 80% win rate.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.9M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $5.6M tracked across 230 markets.
- Bought Yes at 41¢ before the market moved to 55¢, suggesting strong early positioning.
$2,586 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 44452848, $48,805
- 0xde7b...5f4b — Outcome 27241630, $27,213 (79% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 27241630, $12,389 (77% win rate)
- 0xc7e5...2d3a — Outcome 27241630, $10,783 (82% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Outcome 27241630, $5,546 (65% win rate)
- 0xa43d...00f4 — Outcome 27241630, $5,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x2200...0f2d — Outcome 27241630, $3,178 (31% win rate)
- 0x57c5...07aa — Outcome 27241630, $3,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x1e1f...c855 — Outcome 27241630, $2,940 (58% win rate)
- 0x3989...27b1 — Outcome 27241630, $2,000 (45% win rate)
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