Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0

88% serial cross-market winner

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and +$249k P&L bought $3.7k of No despite a relatively thin, wide-spread market.

Total

$3,700

Trades

1

Win Rate

88%

Wallet P&L

-$21,935

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 89¢

UK Labour LeadershipUKStarmerPoliticsKeir StarmerUnited KingdomLabour
View all alerts for Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

Detected June 26, 2026 at 5:31 PM

88% serial cross-market winner | PolySpotter