Part of: Starmer officially leaves office by…?

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,700.

Categories: UK Labour Leadership, UK, Starmer, Politics, Keir Starmer, United Kingdom, Labour

Notable Trades

88% serial cross-market winner

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and +$249k P&L bought $3.7k of No despite a relatively thin, wide-spread market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
  • They have traded 40 markets across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • They put $3.7k on No in a market with only $6.1k liquidity and a wide 7¢ spread.

$3,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9f79...5487 Outcome 68238060, $2,747 (79% win rate)
  2. 0x0bfb...26a7 Outcome 68238060, $2,293
  3. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 68238060, $1,300
  4. 0xe1a3...24ea Outcome 68238060, $1,087 (12% win rate)
  5. 0x6a3c...ba69 Outcome 68238060, $457
  6. 0xdbf7...fbea Outcome 68238060, $312 (57% win rate)
  7. 0xdf34...dc86 Outcome 68238060, $288
  8. 0x5012...c4d9 Outcome 68238060, $241
  9. 0x87f5...d417 Outcome 68238060, $232
  10. 0xc602...7fc1 Outcome 68238060, $206 (43% win rate)

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Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

ResolvedStarmer officially leaves office by…?$3,700 tracked1 signalUK Labour LeadershipUKStarmerPoliticsKeir StarmerUnited KingdomLabour

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer formally ceases to be the Prime Minister of the UK by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify, Keir Starmer must formally cease to hold the position of Prime Minister in accordance with the laws, rules, governing documents, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements (including resignation) of a future departure will not qualify. Any official departure by Keir Starmer will qualify regardless of the means or if a successor has been appointed by that date. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary changes to Keir Starmer’s duties as Prime Minister will not qualify. A suspension or leave qualifies only when Keir Starmer formally ceases to be Prime Minister. Indefinite suspensions will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

58d ago

$3,700 on No at 89¢

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