Part of: Starmer officially leaves office by…?
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,700.
Categories: UK Labour Leadership, UK, Starmer, Politics, Keir Starmer, United Kingdom, Labour
Notable Trades
88% serial cross-market winner
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and +$249k P&L bought $3.7k of No despite a relatively thin, wide-spread market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $249k lifetime.
- They have traded 40 markets across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- They put $3.7k on No in a market with only $6.1k liquidity and a wide 7¢ spread.
$3,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Top Holders
- 0x9f79...5487 — Outcome 68238060, $2,747 (79% win rate)
- 0x0bfb...26a7 — Outcome 68238060, $2,293
- 0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 68238060, $1,300
- 0xe1a3...24ea — Outcome 68238060, $1,087 (12% win rate)
- 0x6a3c...ba69 — Outcome 68238060, $457
- 0xdbf7...fbea — Outcome 68238060, $312 (57% win rate)
- 0xdf34...dc86 — Outcome 68238060, $288
- 0x5012...c4d9 — Outcome 68238060, $241
- 0x87f5...d417 — Outcome 68238060, $232
- 0xc602...7fc1 — Outcome 68238060, $206 (43% win rate)
Related Theses
US-Iran peace deal imminent
Covers 2 related markets
Hormuz blockade lifted in May
Covers 4 related markets
Trump says mutilation at conference
Covers 1 related market
Hormuz traffic remains disrupted
Covers 1 related market
Hormuz disruptions persist past July
Covers 1 related market
Briefing features repeated catchphrases
Covers 3 related markets
Hormuz disruptions persist past deadline
Covers 1 related market
Starmer stays through July 17
Covers 1 related market
Argentina Portugal or England wins
Covers 3 related markets