95% win-rate serial trader
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A serial cross-market trader with a 95% win rate bought No at 81¢ in a high-volume Elon tweet-count market, making this a track-record-driven signal worth watching despite the modest size.
Total
$1,891
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$10,572
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved markets with 81 wins and 4 losses.
- They trade across many related markets: 44 events, 73 markets, and about $406k in volume.
- They bought No at 81¢, a high-confidence price that fits their habit of grinding out favorites.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected April 3, 2026 at 11:44 PM