Smart Money SignalScore: 5.5

1-day repeat new wallet

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 4.7, Claude Sonnet 5.0, Sonnet 5, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

A 1-day-old wallet has rapidly built multiple flagged positions and paid the full 60¢ ask on a thin market, suggesting fresh conviction despite no resolved track record yet.

Total

$1,006

Trades

1

Wallet P&L

-$21

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy Yes at 60¢

Claude 5AISonnetTechanthropic
View all alerts for Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Detected June 27, 2026 at 12:42 AM

1-day repeat new wallet | PolySpotter