Profitable 78% bettor
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Profitable high-volume bettor with a 78% resolved-bet win rate bought No on a thin geopolitical market, sizing far above recent activity.
Total
$2,606
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$98,973
Analysis
- This bettor has won 78% of 905 resolved bets and is up about $89.5K lifetime.
- Their $2.6K No buy was over 12x the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
- They entered at 90¢ and the market has already moved to about 94¢ No.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected June 28, 2026 at 12:48 PM