97% serial cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate put about $5.1k on No in a relatively thin market, though the trade is a high-probability favorite rather than a big mispricing swing.
Total
$5,093
Trades
3
Win Rate
97%
Wallet P&L
-$6,494
Analysis
- This bettor has won 97% of 2,022 resolved trades and has placed across 115 events.
- They put $5.1k on No, a meaningful size versus the market’s thin liquidity.
- Entry around 88¢ suggests a lower-upside, high-confidence favorite bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 88¢
Detected June 29, 2026 at 9:01 AM