Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,170.
Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump
Notable Trades
97% winner buying No
Surfaced because a highly experienced profitable wallet with a 97% resolved-market win rate made a large No bet that dwarfed recent activity in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 97% of 2,020 resolved markets and is up $13K lifetime.
- They put $3.1K on No, about 27x the market’s reported recent 24h volume.
- The market is thin, with only about $3.3K liquidity, so this is a high-conviction position.
$1,004 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% serial cross-market bettor
A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate put about $5.1k on No in a relatively thin market, though the trade is a high-probability favorite rather than a big mispricing swing.
- This bettor has won 97% of 2,022 resolved trades and has placed across 115 events.
- They put $5.1k on No, a meaningful size versus the market’s thin liquidity.
- Entry around 88¢ suggests a lower-upside, high-confidence favorite bet.
$5,093 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner buying No
Surfaced because a highly experienced profitable wallet with a 97% resolved-market win rate made a large No bet that dwarfed recent activity in a thin market.
- This bettor has won 97% of 2,020 resolved markets and is up $13K lifetime.
- They put $3.1K on No, about 27x the market’s reported recent 24h volume.
- The market is thin, with only about $3.3K liquidity, so this is a high-conviction position.
$3,073 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%
Top Holders
- 0x3815...b25f — Outcome 11308588, $4,117
- 0xd109...6fa0 — Outcome 11308588, $2,906 (80% win rate)
- 0x1f66...4c8d — Outcome 11308588, $1,934 (56% win rate)
- 0x215a...254c — Outcome 11308588, $1,196
- 0xa794...42ad — Outcome 11308588, $500
- 0x54d1...13f4 — Outcome 11308588, $390 (80% win rate)
- 0x7d58...cfcc — Outcome 11308588, $367 (58% win rate)
- 0x97ae...50c9 — Outcome 11308588, $359
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 11308588, $247 (94% win rate)
- 0xd281...a3c9 — Outcome 11308588, $198
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