Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,170.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

97% winner buying No

Surfaced because a highly experienced profitable wallet with a 97% resolved-market win rate made a large No bet that dwarfed recent activity in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 2,020 resolved markets and is up $13K lifetime.
  • They put $3.1K on No, about 27x the market’s reported recent 24h volume.
  • The market is thin, with only about $3.3K liquidity, so this is a high-conviction position.

$1,004 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate put about $5.1k on No in a relatively thin market, though the trade is a high-probability favorite rather than a big mispricing swing.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 2,022 resolved trades and has placed across 115 events.
  • They put $5.1k on No, a meaningful size versus the market’s thin liquidity.
  • Entry around 88¢ suggests a lower-upside, high-confidence favorite bet.

$5,093 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% winner buying No

Surfaced because a highly experienced profitable wallet with a 97% resolved-market win rate made a large No bet that dwarfed recent activity in a thin market.

  • This bettor has won 97% of 2,020 resolved markets and is up $13K lifetime.
  • They put $3.1K on No, about 27x the market’s reported recent 24h volume.
  • The market is thin, with only about $3.3K liquidity, so this is a high-conviction position.

$3,073 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3815...b25f — Yes, $4,117
  2. 0xd109...6fa0 — Yes, $2,906 (82% win rate)
  3. 0x1f66...4c8d — Yes, $1,934 (56% win rate)
  4. 0x215a...254c — Yes, $599
  5. 0xa794...42ad — Yes, $500 (59% win rate)
  6. 0x54d1...13f4 — Yes, $390 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x97ae...50c9 — Yes, $359
  8. 0xe8c4...395d — Yes, $247 (95% win rate)
  9. 0xd281...a3c9 — Yes, $198
  10. 0x0711...f03c — Yes, $148

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?$9,170 tracked3 signalsPoliticsCultureTrump
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

2026-06-30 00:26 UTC

$1,004 on No at 87¢

87¢→100¢↑13¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

2026-06-29 09:01 UTC

$5,093 on No at 88¢

88¢→100¢↑12¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?

2026-06-28 15:11 UTC

$3,073 on No at 87¢

87¢→100¢↑13¢

Related Theses