95% win-rate serial bettor
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A serial cross-market wallet with a 95% win rate bought the equivalent of Yes at 45¢ in an active market, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite modest size.
Total
$1,283
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$10,572
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades with an 81-4 record across 85 markets
- They trade heavily across related markets — 45 events and 74 markets with over $408k deployed
- This sale of No at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 45¢, near the current 46¢ ask
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 45¢
Detected April 4, 2026 at 6:35 AM