Sharp bettor buys Yes
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
A profitable sharp bettor with a 76% win rate and strong edge opened a fresh $2.4k position at 52¢ in a fast-moving Elon tweet-count market.
Total
$2,375
Trades
1
Win Rate
19%
Wallet P&L
+$116,195
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of their trades and is up $163k across 42 resolved markets
- They usually buy long odds around 35¢, so paying 52¢ suggests real conviction here
- The market is active and already up 18 points in a day, which supports the move rather than a random punt
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 52¢
Detected April 4, 2026 at 6:46 AM