Profitable serial bettor

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No in a quiet geopolitics market with the trade nearly matching daily volume.
Total
$1,863
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$398,730
Analysis
- This bettor has 944 resolved trades, wins 61% of them, and is up about $357k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $963k flagged across 109 markets.
- This $1.86k No buy was 84% of the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 90¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 7:17 AM