Part of: Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?
This prediction market tracks whether Saudi Arabia will officially recognize Israel as a state by December 31, 2026. It resolves “Yes” only if formal government recognition occurs, not merely an announcement of intent, with official government information as the primary source. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,200 in smart money across 1 signal for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,200.
Categories: Syria, Yemen, Israel, Geopolitics, Middle East
Notable Trades
Fresh wallet in quiet market
A brand-new wallet placed a $1.2k Yes bet on a very quiet geopolitics market, making the trade large relative to recent volume despite no track record.
- A wallet created 15 minutes earlier bought $1.2k of Yes shares.
- The bet is nearly 5x the market’s 24-hour volume, so it stands out in a quiet market.
- Entry at 18¢ implies a long-shot thesis on formal Saudi recognition by 2026.
$1,200 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xea83...5c8f — No, $6,671
- 0xc9c3...995a — Yes, $6,667
- 0xc8df...7140 — Yes, $1,198
- 0x1469...0ae9 — No, $411
- 0x02eb...1942 — No, $385
- 0x5f96...440d — No, $332
- 0xd056...f1be — No, $157
- 0xa324...afc9 — Yes, $113
- 0x9ad0...bf3d — No, $104
- 0x067e...625b — Yes, $93
