Profitable macro serial trader
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
High-conviction No bet from a profitable serial cross-market trader with $486k lifetime profit and large size relative to this market’s daily volume.
Total
$44,232
Trades
3
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$722,669
Analysis
- This bettor has won 69% of 81 resolved trades and is up $486k lifetime.
- They put $44k on No, equal to about 95% of this market’s 24h volume.
- This wallet frequently trades related markets, with activity across 54 events and nearly $4M in tracked cross-market volume.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 78¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 12:40 PM