Four-wallet coordinated No position
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four wallets, including two linked accounts and a highly profitable bettor, coordinated roughly $15.5K of No exposure as Yes fell 13% over the week.
Total
$14,021
Trades
5
Analysis
- Four wallets deployed $15,487 toward No, with two wallets linked to the same funder.
- The move coincided with a 12.3x volume spike and a 13% weekly decline in Yes pricing.
- One participant wins 84% of 314 resolved bets, while another has earned $2.1M lifetime, though their average entry prices limit the strength of the track-record signal.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 35¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 9:49 PM