Profitable macro whale buys NO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader put $46k on No in a Fed-rate market, a large position relative to liquidity and recent volume despite some early fills now underwater.
Total
$46,299
Trades
4
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$722,669
Analysis
- This bettor has won 69% of 81 resolved bets and is up about $486k lifetime.
- They put $46k on No, more than half of today’s volume in a market with only $35k liquidity.
- Current No odds near 66¢ are below their roughly 77¢ average entry after large fills at 82–83¢.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 77¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 12:49 PM