Profitable macro cross-market bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Profitable, high-volume wallet with a 69% resolved win rate is taking a cross-market macro view against a Fed hike by the September 2026 meeting.
Total
$2,210
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$722,669
Analysis
- This bettor has won 69% of 81 resolved trades and is up $486k overall.
- They have put about $36.9k across two related Fed-rate markets, suggesting a broader macro thesis.
- Buying No at 65¢ means they are betting the market is still underpricing no rate hike by then.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 65¢
Detected July 2, 2026 at 1:53 PM