Smart Money SignalScore: 5.0
Profitable new wallet fading Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A profitable repeat new wallet is taking a contrarian No position on a thin, wide-spread AI benchmark market that has already been drifting down.
Total
$2,222
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$4,826
Analysis
- This newer bettor has won 6 of 7 resolved bets and is up $3.4k so far.
- Selling Yes at 81¢ is equivalent to buying No at 19¢, a contrarian bet against the market’s 83% Yes price.
- The market is fairly thin with only about $3.4k liquidity, so a $2.2k trade shows meaningful conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 19¢
Detected July 3, 2026 at 11:04 AM