90% win-rate political bettor

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate made a $3.3k buy on No in a quiet impeachment market, suggesting this is worth tracking despite the modest size.
Total
$3,312
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$1,485,071
Analysis
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets
- They trade across 72 related markets and 58 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
- Their $3.3k buy was over 3.2x this market’s 24-hour volume, a clear sign of conviction in an otherwise quiet market
Copy Trade
Buy No at 89¢
Detected April 4, 2026 at 5:30 PM