What has to happen for this Trump impeachment market to resolve Yes?

The market resolves Yes if the U.S. House of Representatives approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump by simple majority vote during the specified period.

Does Trump need to be convicted by the Senate for this market to resolve Yes?

No. Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is not necessary. The market only requires the House to pass articles of impeachment.

When does the Trump impeachment by 2026 market resolve?

The market covers the period from July 24, 2025 through December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If no qualifying House impeachment vote occurs by then, it resolves No.

What are smart money signals showing on this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $22,763 in smart money and 3 signals, including high win-rate bettors buying No and other profitable traders taking longshot Yes positions.

Where will the resolution information come from?

The primary resolution source is official information from the U.S. federal government, consistent with the market’s rules.

Part of: Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether the U.S. House of Representatives will approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump between July 24, 2025 and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves “Yes” if the House votes by simple majority to impeach; a Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is not required. PolySpotter is tracking $22,763 in smart money activity and recent signals from high win-rate political bettors on both Yes and No positions.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,075.

Categories: Trump, Trump Presidency, Politics, Earn 4%

Notable Trades

Profitable whale buying quiet YES

A profitable wallet made a $6.3K equivalent BUY Yes on a quiet political market, totaling over 6x the prior 24h volume.

This bettor is up $264K lifetime across 44 resolved trades.
The $6.3K position is more than 6x this market’s entire 24h volume.
Selling No at 88¢ is the same as buying Yes around 12¢.

$6,334 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

89% winner buys impeachment NO

A highly profitable 89% winner placed an $8.7k NO bet that dwarfs this quiet market’s daily volume.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $1.48M lifetime.
The $8.7k NO buy was more than 8x this market’s entire 24h volume.
This is a serial cross-market trader with $14.2M deployed across 74 markets.

$8,667 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

90% winner buys longshot Yes

A bettor with a 90% win rate sold No at 86¢, which converts to buying Yes at 14¢, making a sizable contrarian bet in a quiet political market.

This bettor wins 90% of their resolved trades across 313 bets.
They effectively bought Yes at 14¢ by selling No at 86¢, a clear contrarian stance.
Their $7.8k trade was 7.7x the market's 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market.

$7,761 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

90% win-rate political bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 90% win rate made a $3.3k buy on No in a quiet impeachment market, suggesting this is worth tracking despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $1.37M lifetime across more than 1,000 bets
They trade across 72 related markets and 58 events, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off punt
Their $3.3k buy was over 3.2x this market’s 24-hour volume, a clear sign of conviction in an otherwise quiet market

$3,312 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%