Profitable cross-market bettor

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Profitable serial cross-market trader made a large Yes buy in a quiet House market before the price jumped from 82¢ to 93¢.
Total
$3,127
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$253,928
Analysis
- This bettor is up $238k lifetime and has traded across 29 events.
- The $3.1k Yes buy was about 65% of the market’s 24h volume.
- They entered at 82¢ before the market moved to 93¢, suggesting they caught the repricing early.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 82¢
Detected July 12, 2026 at 6:49 PM