5-wallet No cluster
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate hikes will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Five wallets, including linked and historically active cross-market traders, bought $37K of No into a sharp volume spike and moved the market higher.
Total
$37,111
Trades
7
Analysis
- Five wallets bought $37K of No within minutes, pushing No from the high-60s/low-80s up to 88¢.
- Two wallets share a funder and the flow is all one-sided, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than random activity.
- One participating trader has bet across 155 events with an 86% win rate, and several wallets were adding to existing No positions.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 80¢
Detected July 14, 2026 at 12:43 PM